Drew Brees (6600) NO @ TB
Drew Brees comes into this matchup off his worst performance of the year against a very underrated Cowboys defense. He’ll have 10 days to prepare for a matchup with Tampa Bay, who is missing key defensive players all over the place including on the D-line and in the secondary. This is the perfect get-right matchup against a division rival. Drew Brees’ highest passing yardage total also came against this team (439) in Week 1 when the defense was much healthier. I usually try to avoid divisional matchups if possible, but not this game.
Jeff Wilson Jr. (3800) SF vs DEN
Jeff Wilson is a late addition to this list, and he’s all the way up to my TOP value play this week. Obviously with the news that James Conner is definitely out puts Jaylen Samuels as the front runner for that spot, but I’m a bigger fan of Wilson this week. The SF running back set a season high in targets (9) and receptions (8) for a SF running back this season. Denver has been stingier against the position in the last 5 weeks, but I think Wilson will be a fixture in the pass game, playing catch up in this game. I wouldn’t be surprised to see another 6+ catch, 100+ total yard day for Wilson Jr.
Jameis Winston (6200) TB vs NO
This game is going to have a ridiculous over under, and that usually means 35+ pass attempts for Jameis Winston. He’s coming into this game with a solid streak of 6 touchdowns to only 1 interception over his last 2.5 games. In Week 1, Ryan Fitzpatrick torched the Saints for 45.28 fantasy points, throwing 417 yards and 4 touchdowns. Winston is spreading the ball nicely between his top 4 options, Evans, Humphries, Godwin and Brate. Winston has also increased his rushing production recently, rushing the ball 17 times over the last 3 games. This most likely will not be a mistake free game from Jameis, but if he plays a full 4 quarters without getting benched, I like this spot for him a lot.
Aaron Rodgers (6000) GB vs ATL
The Packers lost an embarassing one to a bottom 3 team in the Cardinals this past Sunday. Immediately after that performance, the Packers fired head coach Mike McCarthy. Many reports cited that the team just wasn’t responding to McCarthy. Coaching changes so far this season have actually provided a spark to the team so far this year (see Mike McCoy fired for Byron Leftwich, and Hue Jackson/Todd Haley fired for Gregg Williams/Freddie Kitchens.) Rodgers has not played at his elite level this season, but the stars are aligning this week in a matchup against Atlanta. Great matchup, cheap salary tag, playing at home under a new coach. I’m giving Rodgers this last chance, but if he can’t get it done in this spot, he will be untrustable for the rest of this year in DFS.
Josh Allen (5500) BUF vs NYJ
Josh Allen makes it into our article for the second time this season, and the first time didn’t go so well. Fool me once, shame on you. If Allen fools me again this week, well that’s just my bad then. Everyone has been starting Lamar Jackson recently because of his rushing ability, but Josh Allen has quietly been a more effective runner and passer than Jackson, and he comes in with a cheaper price tag and better matchup than Jackson has had. In the last 2 weeks, Allen has rushed the ball 22 times for 234 yards and has 35.4 points on RUSHING alone in the past 2 weeks. I’m not saying he’s going to run for 100 yards this week, but 7+ rushing attempts is very likely and the matchup against the Jets is a good one. Allen also threw multiple touchdowns for the first time in his young career and tied his career high in completions. I prefer Rodgers for 500 more but love this as a contrarian/bargain play.
Saquon Barkley (8900) NYG @ WAS
11 of 12 games this season. That’s the amount of times Saquon has scored over 20 fantasy points on Draftkings. His worst game of the season, he still saw 20 carries and got 14 fantasy points. Saquon has been an absolute animal this year, and gets a Washington team that has been getting worse stopping the run as the season has gone on. The last time we saw Washington (Week 12 since it’s Monday morning) they got gashed by Zeke for 121 yards on the ground and even gave up 86 yards rushing to Lamar Miller the week before. Saquon is also coming into this game rushing for 100+ yards in 3 straight games. Barkley through 12 games has been a better rusher at home, but better receiver on the road.
Alvin Kamara (8100) NO @ TB
Like a few players in this matchup, Kamara had his best game of the season in this meeting Week 1, where he posted 12 catches on his way to 46.1 fantasy points. Kamara has definitely seen a decrease in fantasy points since Mark Ingram returned but this is a great spot for Kamara and the price tag is just too cheap.
Aaron Jones (7200) GB vs ATL
Aaron Jones is averaging 24 FPPG over the last month, and his biggest obstacle to fantasy relevance (Mike McCarthy) has been removed. An Atlanta defense comes to town as the worst team in the league against opposing running backs. The spot could not be better for Jones in this one, and he doesn’t carry the price tag as the other elite RB’s do this week.
Spencer Ware (5200) KC vs BAL
Spencer Ware was the clear lead back without Kareem Hunt logging the most carries, routes run, and goal line work. That is a very favorable spot to be in on perhaps the best and most explosive offense in football. The Ravens do have a great defense so this isn’t a slam dunk, but I don’t want to avoid Ware BECAUSE of this matchup. This season, the Chiefs have run the ball more in home games (Hunt was averaging 15.6 carries in Road games and 17.4 carries in home games.) Spencer Ware should see 14-18 opportunities plus goal line work in this high powered offense. 5200 is a fair price tag
Gus Edwards (4500) BAL @ KC
Another high volume game for Gus, registering 21 carries against Atlanta. No touchdowns and no involvement in the passing game keeps his ceiling low (8.2 fantasy points this week.) Edwards gets another great matchup in Kansas City against a bottom 5 rush defense.
Justin Jackson (3800) LAC vs CIN
This will all depend on the health of Melvin Gordon, but the rookie has looked phenomenal in his last game and a half worth of action. He looks explosive, decisive, shifty, and head and shoulders above Austin Ekeler as a runner right now. In 15 carries, Jackson has ran for 120 yards (8 YPC) and got into the end zone. The matchup is amazing, and is a lock in my lineup if Gordon misses this game.
Jaylen Samuels (3700) PIT @ OAK
Coach Mike Tomlin called James Conner’s injury a “leg contusion” but after watching the replay a bunch of times, to me (I am DEFINITELY not a doctor) it looked a lot like a high ankle sprain. We have no knowledge at this time on if Conner will miss this game, but Oakland is as good of a team as any to rest a key piece to your playoff team. That would thrust Jaylen Samuels into the starting role for the Steelers. That is a very favorable spot against the aforementioned Oakland Raiders. This could be this week’s Spencer Ware-type value opening up on this slate.
Davante Adams (8400) GB vs ATL
Another week, another touchdown (11) for Davante Adams. He has been an absolute stud all year, and gets a great matchup against the Falcons at home, in a game where I think Aaron Rodgers may have his best performance of the season. Almost a no brainer here, if I’m paying up, there’s not many spots I’d rather go than Adams.
Julio Jones (7900) ATL @ GB
It was a stinker. Not much else you can say about Julio’s 2 catch 18 yard performance against the Ravens. I actually don’t think this Green Bay matchup is amazing either, I’m way higher on the Packers young secondary than most people. But I do think this will be a high scoring team and Julio is by far the best player on the Falcons team. The Packers aren’t notorious for double teaming receivers either. Julio snapped his 6 game streak of 100+ receiving yards, but will look to bounce back in this matchup.
Keenan Allen (7400) LAC vs CIN
Keenan Allen blew up on Sunday Night Football! Allen posted a career high in both targets (19) and catches (14) in a game where he put up 40 fantasy points. By far Philip Rivers favorite target, if Gordon misses another game we should easily see another 10+ target game in a cake matchup against the Bengals. Allen is my favorite WR play of Week 14.
Amari Cooper (6600) DAL vs PHI
Amari Cooper has been a different player since he came to Dallas. He has led the team in targets, yards, end zone looks, and receiving touchdowns since coming from Oakland in the trade. Now he gets to attack a Philadelphia secondary that is playing with 4th and 5th stringers. I love Cooper in this spot.
Adam Humphries (4900) TB vs NO
VERY upset that Draftkings caught on to me and priced Humphries at 4900. I have been riding this cheat code for a majority of this season, and it’s because he’s been way too cheap for his involvement in this high scoring offense. Adam Humphries led the Bucs in targets (9) on Sunday, catching 7 passes for 61 yards and a touchdown. This is now 6 straight games for Humphries over 50 yards receiving and this is another great matchup, most likely attacking PJ Williams of the Saints.
Bruce Ellington (3800) DET @ ARI
Ellington has seen 26 targets over the last 3 games and is still only at 3800. Stafford is using Ellington as mostly a checkdown receiver, but the volume is insane at this price tag. A 7-70 game is extremely possible in this matchup against the Cardinals, which would smash value at this price tag.
Eric Ebron (5700) IND @ HOU
Ebron saw 16 targets on Sunday as Luck’s favorite target once again. It’s a no-brainer, when Doyle is out you use Eric Ebron. He gets a ridiculous amount of targets and his touchdown upside is sky high. I like the chances of Luck and the Colts bouncing back in this must win game against their division rivals.
Cameron Brate (3500) TB vs NO
I like a lot of players in this matchup, including Brate at his cheap price tag. He’s definitely the 4th option in this offense but he had another should-be touchdown, end zone look this week. At 3500, you can do a lot worse.
Ian Thomas (2700) CAR @ CLE
Greg Olsen is now done for the season after re-injuring his foot. That puts Thomas back into the starting lineup and at 2700, there is a strong possibility I lean this way. Great price tag, great matchup and Thomas immediately caught 5 passes once Olsen went down last week. It all comes down to roster construction, but if you really need to save at Tight End, I like this spot.
Broncos (3600) DEN @ SF
I haven’t loved spending up at defense, but this team is surging (10+ in 3 straight games) and SF has looked atrocious with Nick Mullens the last few games.
Cardinals (2300) ARI vs DET
The Lions haven’t done a great job protecting Matt Stafford, and in a home game at 2300, this is my favorite defense.
Redskins (2300) WAS vs NYG
Cheap defense at home against Eli Manning? Seems like a winning formula.
How to Win Money on DraftKings in NFL DFS
That’s what I found on DraftKings for my favorite values this week. I’d love to hear from you guys on some other potential values that you guys are seeing and let me know your favorite QB-WR stacks for the week. Tweet me your lineups @hydeandzeke and we’ll sweat it out together!
An Example Week 14 DraftKings NFL DFS Lineup That I Could Use: