tight end dfs strategy

How Many Points Should You Get From Your TE in DFS?

November 16, 2018

The tight end position is always scarce in fantasy football but this year it has been an absolute madhouse.

There have been several injuries this year making one of the scarcest positions already, even thinner.

Luckily in DFS, you get to pick a new tight end every week which is a nice change of pace from searching the waiver wire.

Every team in the NFL has at least two tight ends but there are only like 15 startable fantasy tight ends, and that’s being generous!

Hunter Henry’s season was over before it even started, Tyler Eifert finally got some momentum until suffering another gruesome injury, Delanie Walker one the most consistent tight ends saw his season come to end the first game of the season.

Not to mention, Greg Olsen, Gronk, Jack Doyle, and Evan Engram have all missed several games with nagging injuries.

This has been a terrible year for the tight end position which is all the more reason to find value at the position.

Tight end is by far the cheapest position (excluding defense), with players priced at less than $3,000.

Tight End Breakdown – DFS Scoring Compared to Salary

To find value, I broke down how much 13 tight ends cost and their fantasy points per week.

I did not include tight ends who have missed more than two games in order to keep this information accurate.

Player Average Salary Points Per Week
Zach Ertz $9,120 19.1
Travis Kelce $6,480 18.9
O.J Howard $3,575 13.2
Jared Cook $4,500 13.9
Jimmy Graham $4,850 11.2
David Njoku $3,900 9.1
Trey Burton $4,350 12.4
Austin Hooper $3,350 10.8
C.J Uzomah $2,850 5.9
Eric Ebron $4,250 15.0
Jordan Reed $4,850 9.0
Ben Watson $3,200 8.4
Kyle Rudolph $4,100 9.0

I have broken down how many points you should get from Running Backs, Receivers, and Quarterbacks, Tight end is by far the lowest scoring position of them all.

However, they are also the lowest priced position offering players less than $3,000.

How Many Points to Expect From a Tight End in DFS

These are arguably the top tight ends to choose from so far this year. As a whole, they average 12 points a week.

If I get 12 points from my tight end, whether it be 6 catches for 60 yards or 3 catches 30 yards and a touchdown, I am pretty happy.

Like I have stated in previous articles, it is important to have a specific point total that you want to reach each week, with each position and your entire lineup.

My goal is 160 points every week, 12 points from my tight end puts me right on track to reach that goal.

Quarterback – 23 points

Running Backs – 43 points

Wide Receivers – 54 points

Tight End – 12 points

Flex (RB/WR) – 16 points

Defense – 10 points

How Much To Spend at TE in DFS 

Tight end is a relatively cheap position outside of the top 3 tight ends (Gronk, Ertz, & Kelce), with the highest salary on average being $4,850.

Similar to every position, tight ends are broken down into tiers, 5 to be exact.

Tight Ends costing $6,500+ are averaging 19.0 points this season

Tight Ends costing $4,850 are averaging 10.0 points this season

Tight Ends costing $4,000 are averaging 11.4 points this season

Tight Ends costing $3,500 are averaging 10.8 points this season

Tight Ends costing $3,000 are averaging 6.0 points this season

This shows how poor the tight end position has been this year, every tier is nearly averaging the same amount of points.

This is why we here at www.hydeandzeke.com, do not draft tight ends before the 10th round in our league play, nor do we spend up on them in DFS.

Should I Pay More to Get a Good Tight End in DFS? 

Some DFS players may argue that since there is such a large gap between the top and the bottom of the tight end totem pole, they should pay up to gain a positional advantage.

In theory, this sounds like a great idea. If your goal is to just outscore your opponents tight end than it will definitely work, but if you are looking to outscore your opponents entire team then this is a terrible strategy.

Zach Ertz, who is averaging a salary of $9,120 on a weekly basis, is only scoring 19 points a week.

You can purchase Todd Gurley, who averages almost 30 points a week, for the same price!

What would you rather have 19 points from a tight end or the touchdown machine Todd Gurley?

Exactly.

Spend as Little as Possible for Value Tight Ends in DFS (Most Weeks)

DFS is all about value, tight ends are more of a burden than a blessing to DFS lineups, so spend as little as possible.

I recommend saving at the TE position, spending between $3,500 – $4,000, spreading the savings across higher scoring positions like running backs and receivers.

This TE tier gives you the best opportunity to hit the 12 point mark without breaking the bank.

My go to tight end this year has been O.J Howard. He has remained cheap for most of the season and is consistently a top 5 play week in and week out.  

Halfway into the season, Draftkings is finally taking notice and pricing him accordingly.

Touchdowns are the gamechanger for a tight ends performance.

It is rare to see a tight end in double digits without scoring a touchdown.

If your tight end scores a touchdown, they are immediately top 10 at the position any given week.

What To Look For in a Tight End for DFS 

1. Targets

In order to score points in fantasy as a tight end, you need your quarterback to actually throw you the ball. Typically, 5 targets will result in decent production. Each of the top 3 tight ends are averaging over 5 targets a game. However, in DFS we are not aiming for consistency, we only care about how our players play that given week. Look for a tight end to get at least 5 targets.

2. Matchup

How do you get more targets? You throw the ball more. You want to choose a tight end that will be in a high scoring game. The more points that are scored the better of a chance your tight end has of getting in on the scoring.

Choosing a tight end on a team that may get blown out is not a bad choice. Although they may not have a great matchup, they may have to play catch up the entire game. if a team is playing This forces a team to throw the ball more resulting in greater opportunity for your tight end.

Pick a favorable matchup. Do not pick a tight end who is playing against the Jaguars or Ravens, play a tight end who is against the Buccaneers.

3. Home/Away Splits

Check the splits. Most tight ends are just as good at home as they are on the road but a few are not. David Njoku, Trey Burton, and Jared Cook are all signifcantly better while playing at home. This can make each of these players great value picks while they are playing at home.

Even though most tight ends perform consistently regardless of where they are playing, defenses play a lot better at home opposed to on the road. This should be something to pay attention to. Seattle has not been the best on defense this year but playing at their home stadium is a whole different story once you get the 12 man involved!

4. Weather

Weather is not talked about enough. As we are getting closer to winter, game conditions are only going to get worse. Make sure to check the weather forecast for your players to make sure they are not playing in a nor’ easter.

How to Pick the Best Tight End in DFS

If you take anything away from this article, it should be to not spend up on tight ends. Those dollars can lead to more points at any other position.

Choose a tight end in between the $3,500 – $4,000 price range.

Look for a favorable matchup, that should be a high scoring game giving your tight end the best opportunity to get 5 targets.

Eyes on the prize! 12 points is the goal.

Do not get fancy and spend up on tight end, you may win the battle but you will lose the war!

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