Currently, there are 4 hours left before my Dynasty Startup Draft begins. I am drafting with a great group of guys from fantasy football Twitter. The date is March 31st 2019, so a lot of stuff will change from now until the season begins, and that’s okay.
Whenever that’s the case, the people who prepare the most usually have a great advantage, and people that do little research have an advantage waiting to draft until right before the season, because there’s so much mock draft data and expert analysis. So bring on the challenge of drafting in March, before the NFL Draft.
10 team 1 QB PPR league. I’m drafting out of the 3 spot in a snake draft. No kickers or defenses. We each start by drafting:
We will hold our rookie draft in August, and picks are already being swapped prior to the vet draft starting in a few hours.
Basically, I want to do a few things in this article.
I first want to reveal my Dynasty Big Board, that’s semi-specific to this draft. I also want to go over my pre-draft strategy and targets, as well as a review of how the draft went. Reviewing a solid draft this early in the season will give many of you a huge advantage compared to your competition. Lastly, I want to address players that I’m higher and lower on than the general consensus.
Below is a table that shows my big board rankings for the 2019 draft (minus the rookie class). For a quick visual guide, the color code is below:
- Blue = RB
- Green = WR
- Orange = TE
- Red = QB
|1. Saquon Barkley||RB||NYG||22-6||1|
|2. Ezekiel Elliott||RB||DAL||24-1||2|
|3. Alvin Kamara||RB||NO||24-1||3|
|4. Christian McCaffrey||RB||CAR||23-2||4|
|5. Melvin Gordon||RB||LAC||26-4||5|
|6. Deandre Hopkins||WR||HOU||27-2||1|
|7. Davante Adams||WR||GB||26-8||2|
|8. Odell Beckham||WR||CLE||26-10||3|
|9. Michael Thomas||WR||NO||26-6||4|
|10. Le’Veon Bell||RB||NYJ||27-6||6|
|11. Joe Mixon||RB||CIN||23-1||7|
|12. Juju Smith Schuster||WR||PIT||22-9||5|
|13. Mike Evans||WR||TB||26-0||6|
|14. Todd Gurley||RB||LAR||25-2||8|
|15. James Conner||RB||PIT||24-4||9|
|16. Dalvin Cook||RB||MIN||24-0||10|
|17. Nick Chubb||RB||CLE||23-8||11|
|18. Tyreek Hill||WR||KC||25-6||7|
|19. Julio Jones||WR||ATL||30-7||8|
|20. Keenan Allen||WR||LAC||27-4||9|
|21. Antonio Brown||WR||OAK||31-1||10|
|22. Brandin Cooks||WR||LAR||25-11||11|
|23. Stefon Diggs||WR||MIN||25-9||12|
|24. Travis Kelce||TE||KC||29-11||1|
|25. Zach Ertz||TE||PHI||28-9||2|
|26. Patrick Mahomes||QB||KC||23-11||1|
|27. David Johnson||RB||ARI||27-8||12|
|28. Sony Michel||RB||NE||24-6||13|
|29. Leonard Fournette||RB||JAX||24-7||14|
|30. Robert Woods||WR||LAR||27-4||13|
|31. Amari Cooper||WR||DAL||25-2||14|
|32. Adam Thielen||WR||MIN||29-0||15|
|33. TY Hilton||WR||IND||29-9||16|
|34. Kerryon Johnson||RB||DET||22-2||15|
|35. Damien Williams||RB||KC||27-5||16|
|36. Aaron Jones||RB||GB||24-9||17|
|37. Derrius Guice||RB||WAS||22-2||18|
|38. George Kittle||TE||SF||25-10||3|
|39. Kenny Golladay||WR||DET||25-10||17|
|40. Tyler Boyd||WR||CIN||24-9||18|
|41. Chris Godwin||WR||TB||23-6||19|
|42. Cooper Kupp||WR||LAR||26-2||20|
|43. Calvin Ridley||WR||ATL||24-8||21|
|44. Andrew Luck||QB||IND||29-11||2|
|45. Deshaun Watson||QB||HOU||23-11||3|
|46. Marlon Mack||RB||IND||23-5||19|
|47. Kareem Hunt||RB||CLE||24-0||20|
|48. James White||RB||NE||27-7||21|
|49. Devonta Freeman||RB||ATL||27-5||22|
|50. Derrick Henry||RB||TEN||25-1||23|
|51. Chris Carson||RB||SEA||24-11||24|
|52. Phillip Lindsay||RB||DET||25-1||25|
|53. Jarvis Landry||WR||CLE||26-9||22|
|54. Allen Robinson||WR||CHI||26-0||23|
|55. DJ Moore||WR||CAR||22-4||24|
|56. AJ Green||WR||CIN||31-1||25|
|57. Corey Davis||WR||TEN||24-7||26|
|58. Dante Pettis||WR||LAC||24-11||27|
|59. Will Fuller||WR||HOU||25-4||28|
|60. Mike Williams||WR||SF||23-10||29|
|61. Tyler Lockett||WR||SEA||26-11||30|
|62. Robby Anderson||WR||NYJ||26-3||31|
|63. Alshon Jeffery||WR||PHI||29-6||32|
|64. OJ Howard||TE||TB||24-9||4|
|65. Hunter Henry||TE||LAC||24-8||5|
|66. Evan Engram||TE||NYG||25-0||6|
|67. Eric Ebron||TE||IND||26-4||7|
|68. David Njoku||TE||CLE||23-1||8|
|69. Matt Breida||RB||SF||24-6||26|
|70. Rashaad Penny||RB||SEA||23-7||27|
|71. Jared Goff||QB||LAR||24-10||4|
|72. Carson Wentz||QB||PHI||26-8||5|
|73. Aaron Rodgers||QB||GB||35-9||6|
|74. Baker Mayfield||QB||CLE||24-4||7|
|75. Sammy Watkins||WR||KC||26-2||33|
|76. Dede Westbrook||WR||SEA||30-11||34|
|77. Courtland Sutton||WR||DEN||23-10||35|
|78. Doug Baldwin||WR||JAX||25-9||36|
|79. Royce Freeman||RB||DEN||23-6||28|
|80. Tarik Cohen||RB||CHI||24-1||29|
|81. Matt Ryan||QB||ATL||34-3||8|
|82. Chris Herndon||TE||NYJ||23-6||9|
|83. Austin Hooper||TE||ATL||24-10||10|
|84. Vance McDonald||TE||PIT||29-2||11|
|85. Jack Doyle||TE||IND||29-4||12|
|86. Christian Kirk||WR||ARI||22-9||37|
|87. James Washington||WR||PIT||23-5||38|
|88. Keke Coutee||WR||HOU||22-7||39|
|89. Sterling Shepard||WR||NYG||25-6||40|
|90. Russell Wilson||QB||SEA||30-9||9|
|91. Jimmy Garoppolo||QB||SF||27-10||10|
|92. Kirk Cousins||QB||MIN||31-0||11|
|93. Cam Newton||QB||CAR||30-3||12|
|94. Sam Darnold||QB||NYJ||22-3||13|
|95. Jameis Winston||QB||TB||25-7||14|
|96. Mark Ingram||RB||BAL||29-8||30|
|97. Kenyan Drake||RB||MIA||25-7||31|
|98. Carlos Hyde||RB||KC||27-11||32|
|99. Latavius Murray||RB||NO||29-7||33|
|100. Jordan Howard||RB||CHI||24-10||34|
|101. Tevin Coleman||RB||SF||26-4||35|
|102. Jerick McKinnon||RB||SF||27-4||36|
|103. Nyheim Hines||RB||IND||22-9||37|
|104. Mike Davis||RB||CHI||26-6||38|
|105. Lamar Miller||RB||HOU||28-4||39|
|106. Trey Burton||TE||CHI||27-10||13|
|107. Ian Thomas||TE||CAR||23-2||14|
|108. Jared Cook||TE||NO||32-4||15|
|109. Dak Prescott||QB||DAL||26-11||15|
|110. Mitch Trubisky||QB||CHI||25-0||16|
|111. Nick Foles||QB||JAX||30-7||17|
|112. Ito Smith||RB||ATL||23-11||40|
|113. Austin Ekeler||RB||LAC||24-3||41|
|114. Dion Lewis||RB||TEN||28-11||42|
|115. Jaylen Samuels||RB||PIT||23-1||43|
|116. Isaiah Crowell||RB||NYJ||26-7||44|
|117. Anthony Miller||WR||CHI||24-10||41|
|118. Michael Gallup||WR||DAL||23-6||42|
|119. Marvin Jones||WR||DET||29-5||43|
|120. Emmanuel Sanders||WR||DEN||32-5||44|
|121. Golden Tate||WR||NYG||31-1||45|
|122. Devin Funchess||WR||IND||25-3||46|
|123. Julian Edelman||WR||NE||33-3||47|
|124. Tyrell Williams||WR||OAK||27-6||48|
|125. Robert Foster||WR||BUF||25-3||49|
|126. Desean Jackson||WR||PHI||32-9||50|
|127. Curtis Samuel||WR||CAR||23-0||51|
|128. Duke Johnson Jr.||RB||CLE||25-11||45|
|129. D’onta Foreman||RB||HOU||23-4||46|
|130. Kalen Ballage||RB||MIA||23-8||47|
|131. Chase Edmonds||RB||ARI||23-4||48|
|132. Ronald Jones ll||RB||TB||22-1||49|
|133. Josh Adams||RB||PHI||22-10||50|
|134. Chris Thompson||RB||WAS||28-10||51|
|135. Lesean McCoy||RB||BUF||31-1||52|
|136. Gio Bernard||RB||CIN||27-9||53|
|137. Jordan Wilkins||RB||IND||25-1||54|
|138. Jalen Richard||RB||OAK||25-10||55|
|139. Jordan Reed||TE||WAS||29-2||16|
|140. Mark Andrews||TE||DAL||24-8||17|
|141. Dallas Goedert||TE||BAL||23-11||18|
|142. Big Ben||QB||PIT||37-6||16|
|143. Drew Brees||QB||NO||40-7||17|
|144. Tom Brady||QB||NE||42-1||18|
|145. Philip Rivers||QB||LAC||37-8||19|
|146. Josh Allen||QB||BUF||23-3||20|
|147. Derek Carr||QB||OAK||28-5||21|
|148. Lamar Jackson||QB||BAL||22-7||22|
|149. Matt Stafford||QB||DET||31-6||23|
|150. Tre’Quan Smith||WR||NO||23-7||52|
|151. Antonio Callaway||WR||CLE||22-7||53|
|152. Nelson Agholor||WR||PHI||26-3||54|
|153. Jamison Crowder||WR||NYJ||26-2||55|
|154. DeVante Parker||WR||MIA||26-7||56|
|155. Donte Moncrief||WR||PIT||26-0||57|
|156. Trey Quinn||WR||WAS||23-8||58|
|157. Marquise Goodwin||WR||SF||28-9||59|
|158. DaeSean Hamilton||WR||DEN||24-5||60|
|159. Elijah Mcguire||RB||NYJ||25-3||56|
|160. Gus Edwards||RB||BAL||24-4||57|
|161. CJ Anderson||RB||LAR||28-6||58|
|162. Adam Humphries||WR||TEN||26-2||61|
|163. John Brown||WR||BUF||29-5||62|
|164. Josh Doctson||WR||WAS||26-9||63|
|165. Marquez Valdez-Scantling||WR||GB||24-10||64|
|166. Tim Patrick||WR||DEN||25-9||65|
|167. Taylor Gabriel||WR||CHI||28-6||66|
|168. Kyle Rudolph||TE||PHI||24-8||19|
|169. Gerald Everett||TE||MIN||29-9||20|
|170. Jimmy Graham||TE||LAR||25-2||21|
|171. Jonnu Smith||TE||GB||32-9||22|
|172. Blake Jarwin||TE||TEN||24-1||23|
|173. Mike Gesicki||TE||MIA||23-11||24|
|174. Kenny Stills||WR||MIA||27-4||67|
|175. Albert Wilson||WR||MIA||27-1||68|
|176. Quincy Enunwa||WR||NYJ||27-3||69|
|177. John Ross||WR||LAR||24-6||70|
|178. Josh Reynolds||WR||NE||28-4||71|
|179. David Moore||WR||HOU||31-8||72|
|180. Deon Cain||WR||JAX||22-11||73|
|181. Braxton Berrios||WR||BUF||24-5||74|
|182. Phillip Dorsett||WR||CIN||23-9||75|
|183. Zay Jones||WR||ARI||36-0||76|
|184. Kenneth Dixon||RB||BAL||25-7||59|
|185. Peyton Barber||RB||BAL||25-0||60|
|186. Jamaal Williams||RB||DET||28-4||61|
|187. Justin Jackson||RB||TB||25-2||62|
|188. Rex Burkhead||RB||FA||25-11||63|
|189. Mark Walton||RB||FA||26-2||64|
|190. John Kelly||RB||GB||24-5||65|
My big board is broken down mostly by tiers, though you’ll see plenty of players that I don’t believe fit into a tier, so they’re by themselves (Patrick Mahomes, Matt Ryan, George Kittle).
I only did 175 players for the big board, and will add more throughout the offseason.
I’ll start with what I’d say is the biggest surprise.
Big Board Surprise Player Rankings
Obviously Gurley will be gone before this. I have him slated in a spot on my big board that I’d be comfortable drafting him at. That definitely means I will not have Todd Gurley on any of my teams, because he’ll never fall that far, but I accept that. He is amazing and might crush the league again next year. But with the arthritis concerns in his knees, I want him to be someone else’s concern.
Players That I Ranked Lower Than Most People
Another player that just won’t make it to me in any drafts based on where I feel comfortable taking him. Having the 2 Rams WR’s (Cooks, Woods) ahead of him won’t sit well with many people.
I’m very high on Kittle and the entire 49ers offense. That being said, I still think there’s a 2 person tandem at the top of the tight end rankings, and Kittle doesn’t crack that group yet.
Chris Carson & Phillip Lindsay
Two players I really liked last year. I believe in the younger talent, and overall better players in Royce Freeman and Rashaad Penny. I’ll take the latter at discounts to the former in drafts this year.
Tarik Cohen & Jordan Howard
Everyone is freaking out of the Jordan Howard trade and these two just both got way overpriced. This is the price you pay for drafting in March. Things should calm down by late summer.
Now the fun part, players that I’m HIGHER on than the rest of the fantasy community.
Players That I Ranked Higher Than Most People
My number 1a target in this draft. He’s fallen to me a ton in the second round, and that’s my goal for this draft tonight. Do we forget how dominant Le’Veon is in fantasy? And a year off has only done him well.
Another 1200 yard season for the number 1 WR on a top offense in the NFL with great support all around him. Love the young stud.
Has anyone looked at Robert Woods game log for 2018? Talk about consistent. His game log tier below what Davante Adams’ looked like, Mr. Consistency himself.
My number 1 target tonight is Damien Williams. My goal is to pair him with Carlos Hyde in the 7th and 9th and lock down the KC running game.
Getting no hype at all, Boyd broke out last season and went over 1000 yards. I love Boyd in the slot and have him as a top 18 WR this year.
This is just my draft crush guys so let me have this one. He’s way too high on my Big Board but I assure you he’ll find his way onto my roster somehow.
I want all the Jets. I will die on the “Sam Darnold is a better quarterback than Baker Mayfield” hill. The 22 year old has so much upside and showed vast improvement at the end of 2018. I love Robby, Bell, Darnold and Herndon this year at their current prices.
Took over as the WR1 in Jacksonville last year and just got a huge upgrade at the quarterback position. This ADP is whacky to me but I’m not complaining as I’ve gotten him everywhere.
For the cost of some pocket lint and 4 paper clips you can acquire Jack Doyle. He’s a steal at those prices.
I’m finally buying in to Jimmy G. Blame Dante Pettis. Jimmy will most likely make the squad tonight.
Young Tight End looked very promising filling in for Greg Olsen last year. Look for Thomas to continue making strides.
Give me the huge discount of a young and talented Carolina receiver.
Mike Davis – Mike Davis rushed for at least 4 yards on 56% of his carries, 12% more than the average RB. That was the best rate in the NFL. Davis is a solid receiver, and will fit great in Nagy’s offense in Chicago.
My Strategy for This Dynasty Draft Setup
I have some pretty cool notes that I wrote for myself heading into this draft that I’ll share with you now, and explain in detail after.
My notes are as follow:
So a brief rundown on those. My tiers are what’s important. If I don’t like my tier in the position I have a need in, I will go find the best available player until better value falls to me.
I want to go after the top 2 Tight Ends to establish an advantage at the position. I don’t want to do it in the 2nd though. If they’re both gone by the 3rd round I will wait very long for the Tight End position.
I either want a huge advantage at QB or TE. I’d rather get neither than both, however. Going top QB and TE will leave you too thin in a league that starts 6 RB/WR’s.
Let’s Break Down the Strategy
You have to be flexible going into drafts, there’s no doubt about it. That’s especially true when playing with guys you’ve never been in a league with before, so you don’t know their tendencies. That being said, I do want to go in with an overall strategy and goal.
Using my Big Board, I noticed a massive drop in RB viability after RB34. Even more so than recent seasons. That being said, I want to lock up 2 top tier RB’s right out of the gate. Saquon and Zeke will be the first 2 picks, so I will be choosing between Kamara and CMC at 4. Then after that I’m looking for Bell, Cook, or Conner to drop to me in the second round, securing 2 of my top 10 RB’s.
Next I want to get a top TE. I want to dominate that position. Ertz is my target in the 3rd round. If he’s gone I will adjust and take best available.
Rounds 4-7 I want to stack up on WR upside. In many mocks I’ve gone Woods, Golladay, Boyd and Pettis here. If my draft can look like that tonight, I will be pumped.
Round 8 I’m targeting Damien Williams. People are so low on him, but most likely I’ll have to attack Williams earlier, and go WR in this round.
Round 9-10 I want to find my starting QB. Targets are Matt Ryan, Jimmy G, and Jameis Winston. I want to draft Darnold or Trubisky as my backup.
Best case scenario, my team looks something like this after 10 rounds:
I’m also going into this draft fully prepared to trade down or out for some rookie picks. I want to be flexible. Volume of picks is normally better than what number the pick is.
I am about to begin this draft, let’s see how it goes!
Dynasty Big Board Draft Recap
The draft was a blast. As you’ll see in a second, our plan was running quite smoothly at the beginning of the draft. I did panic around the 11th round when I saw Latavius Murray still available so I offered almost everyone in the league a trade to move up. Too late. Murray was snatched at 11.7. Would have loved him on my team especially after *spoiler* going Kamara at 3.
There was a ton of trading, the league is very active, which I love. Had a lot of my guys fall to me, and others snatched just the pick before me (Brandin Cooks fell all the way to 4.7 and we draft at 4.8!) Let’s get into my team, and I’ll show you how the 22 round draft went.
My ideal scenario was playing out quite beautifully at the beginning of the draft. As you recall, this is what I said an ideal start to my draft would look like:
*Scroll down a little to see entire Draft Board. Our team is “hydeandzeke13” drafting from the 3 spot*
First 4 rounds went to perfection. One interesting decision I had was at 3.3. I was adamant about taking a top TE to have an advantage at the position, but Mahomes was still available. It killed me, but I went Ertz. I essentially got 9 out of my 10 ideal picks (minus Golladay who went at 4.1) and even got Matt Ryan in the 13th instead of the 9th, as my backup!
I also got James White (8.8) Dede (10.8) and Mike Davis (12.8) at great values.
Things That Went Well
Things That Didn’t Go So Well
Entire Draft Board
Let’s take a look at everyone else’s teams and see how ours stacks up:
I absolutely love my team. If you have a similar way of looking at roster construction to me, then you understand the plan and the vision. But there are some other teams I really do like in this draft.
If I had to pick 1 opponent that had the best draft, I’d have to go with @awlsabermetrics from Twitter.
He had the first overall pick, and traded out for the 1.05 and 3.05 which ended up being CMC and George Kittle. I love those 2 over Saquon, so phenomenal move right out the gate. He also stole some of my favorite value receivers in Lockett, Allen Robinson and Robby Anderson, to pair with a stud like Tyreek Hill. He has some questionable players to form his QB group but I think Jameis will be solid and his team will overcome it.
Notes and final thoughts
Overall, I couldn’t have been happier with how things went. My Big Board was so helpful in this draft and I’m glad I took the time to create it, and hopefully you guys can use it to your advantage as well. If you use my big board, have any questions on it, or just want to talk fantasy football, please reach out at @hydeandzeke on Twitter.